First, have a look at this prediction for the Philadelphia at Tampa Bay sport: How good are the Eagles? Properly, they misplaced to New Orleans, and two of their wins got here towards door mats San Francisco and Houston. In the meantime, Gradkowksi has crammed in effectively for Simms, completeing 45-75 passes. Tampa Bay has been getting progressively higher every week, shedding first by 27, then by 11, 2, and three earlier than lastly beating the Bengals. Carnell Williams would possibly make this distinction for the Bucs on this sport simply by making the Eagles protection play sincere, which can give Gradkowski some additional time within the pocket.
Listed here are some attention-grabbing stats… TB is on an 11-3 ATS run when taking part in their 2nd of two consecutive house video games. They’ve additionally gone 28-15 ATS as a non-division house workforce, and are on a 13-2 ATS run as a house canine. All in all, it’s extremely exhausting to go up TB getting 4 1/2 factors at house towards an Eagles workforce that hasn’t been all that spectacular. The chances and the good cash says to go together with the house canine Bucs +4 1/2, perhaps even successful outright, 21-20.
Right here the evaluation was nearly all science. The Bucs had the historic information of their favor. With the best way Philly has been taking part in poorly these days, choosing the Bucs for the upset appeared apparent. We predicted the rating could be 21-20, and the precise rating was 23-21. Not dangerous.
Now check out the opposite sport, Denver at Cleveland. Right here is our pre-game evaluation:
Why is that this sport solely -4 1/2? As a result of the sport is in Cleveland? If this sport have been in Denver, the road could be -10 to -12. The Broncos protection has given up solely 19 factors of their final 4 video games! Cleveland stinks on offense. They won’t be capable of rating greater than 10 factors towards Ohio St. If it wasn’t for the Raiders, who nearly beat them, Cleveland could be the laughing inventory of the NFL.
How dangerous is Cleveland? Properly for starters they’re solely 6-14 ATS of their final 20 video games towards successful groups. Not solely do they lose after they’re imagined to lose, they lose huge. Denver then again is 13-5 ATS towards non-division opponents.